Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.124571 0.137378 0.150491 0.164891 0.180234 0.196064 0.213604
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.101989 0.121018 0.141466 0.164949 0.191045 0.219034 0.251197
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.083304 0.105846 0.131166 0.161411 0.196251 0.234832 0.280485
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.074203 0.099934 0.129927 0.166914 0.210740 0.260475 0.320634
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.066303 0.094260 0.127970 0.170735 0.222664 0.282838 0.356968
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059257 0.088708 0.125365 0.173091 0.232334 0.302254 0.389772
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052723 0.083033 0.121936 0.173845 0.239606 0.318527 0.418735
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051605 0.084328 0.127265 0.185553 0.260446 0.351361 0.467920
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047209 0.080652 0.125704 0.188110 0.269608 0.369842 0.499758
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043786 0.077995 0.125213 0.191833 0.280113 0.389950 0.533685
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039490 0.073646 0.122052 0.191698 0.285412 0.403418 0.559372
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038341 0.073896 0.125235 0.200115 0.301942 0.431215 0.603204
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037038 0.073993 0.128442 0.209022 0.319822 0.461696 0.651763
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033503 0.070248 0.125865 0.209750 0.326767 0.478250 0.682988
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029124 0.064680 0.120213 0.205819 0.327186 0.486234 0.703302
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027739 0.064038 0.121929 0.212447 0.342126 0.513399 0.748599
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026001 0.062598 0.122283 0.217013 0.354214 0.536889 0.789346
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024041 0.060552 0.121522 0.219818 0.363796 0.557085 0.825944
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021882 0.057896 0.119591 0.220717 0.370595 0.573540 0.857720
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022354 0.060339 0.126078 0.234545 0.396048 0.615469 0.923520
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020801 0.058635 0.125569 0.237559 0.405947 0.636339 0.961555
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.019609 0.057531 0.125977 0.241945 0.417837 0.660003 1.003478
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.017773 0.054882 0.123574 0.241786 0.423012 0.674428 1.033100